Pricing electricity risk by interest rate methods

نویسندگان

  • Juri Hinz
  • Lutz von Grafenstein
  • Michel Verschuere
  • Martina Wilhelm
چکیده

We address a method for pricing electricity contracts based on valuation of ability to produce power, which is considered as the true underlying for electricity derivatives. This approach shows that an evaluation of free production capacity provides a framework where a change–of–numeraire transformation converts electricity forward market into the common settings of money market modeling. Using the toolkit of interest rate theory, we derive explicit option pricing formulas. Submitted 20 February 2004, Final version 12 May 2004

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Pricing of Futures Contracts by Considering Stochastic Exponential Jump Domain of Spot Price

Derivatives are alternative financial instruments which extend traders opportunities to achieve some financial goals. They are risk management instruments that are related to a data in the future, and also they react to uncertain prices. Study on pricing futures can provide useful tools to understand the stochastic behavior of prices to manage the risk of price volatility. Thus, this study eval...

متن کامل

Numerical Methods of Option Pricing for Two Specific Models of Electricity Prices

In this work, two models are proposed for electricity prices as energy commodity prices which in addition to mean-reverting properties have jumps and spikes, due to non-storability of electricity. The models are simulated using an Euler scheme, and then the Monte-Carlo method is used to estimate the expectation of the discounted cash-flow under historical probability, which is considered as the...

متن کامل

Multi-Objective Model for Fair Pricing of Electricity Using the Parameters from the Iran Electricity Market Big Data Analysis

Assessment of the electricity market shows that, electricity market data can be considered "big data". this data has been analyzed by both conventional and modern data mining methods. The predicted variables of supply and demand are considered to be the input of a defined multi-objective for predicting electricity price, which is the result of the defined model. This shows the advantage of appl...

متن کامل

The Interrelationship between Quality Costs and Pricing Decision-Making: An Exploratory Study on a Sample of Industrial Companies

There is a causal relationship between high-quality cost systems and pricing decision makers because pricing decision is in dire need of modern systems that help make rational decisions. The aim of this research is to confirm that quality cost systems affect pricing decisions-making in maintaining the industrial companies. The research results can be utilized by beneficiaries taking into accoun...

متن کامل

Optimum Proposal of Various Financial Rights in Secondary Short-Period Auction Market of Transmission Rights for Congestion Risk Management

Congestion Risk Management is one of the most important subjects of Transmission management in deregulated power system and world electricity market, especially markets of zonal or local pricing in which Firm Transmission Rights (in other words Financial Transmission Rights) are the main elements. In this study, considering subjects of Financial Rights of Transmission Congestion, methods of opt...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2005